Journal of Applied Ecology
Predicting the speed of tick invasion: an empirical model of range expansion for the Lyme disease vector Ixodes scapularis in Canada
According to federal government researchers, by the year 2020 80% of Canadians will live in Lyme endemic areas.
“Our model suggests a major shift in potential human exposure to I. scapularis ticks in the coming decade, with the proportion of the human population of eastern Canada inhabiting areas with established tick populations expected to increase from c. 18%in 2010 to 82% by 2020 (Fig. 4b).”